Kalshi - Tweet Data Analysis
Tweets Analysis - Keyword: @Kalshi
Published March 8, 2023
Overview
Tweets covering
8 days
Latest tweet was on
2023-02-20
Earliest tweet was on
2023-02-12
Total number of tweets analysed
48
Average age of authors' accounts
5 years
Summarization
The US CPI YoY% proxies are slowly edging higher according to data from @ClevelandFed, @Kalshi, @economics, @TheTerminal, and @KobeissiLetter suggests that there could be a partnership between Twitter and @Kalshi. Furthermore, there are markets opening up in September on the Arctic sea ice extent minimum, and there is a consensus forecast of 6.2%. People can also place bets on prediction markets such as @PolymarketHQ, @Kalshi, and @InsightForecast, and bet against the CPI consensus. Finally, @Kalshi has its own predictions market and bets, and it makes predictions based on how their users bet on outcomes.
Topic Modeling
- US CPI Percentage Proxies
- Website Error at Kalshi
- Inflation Swap Implied
- Arctic Sea Ice Extent Minimum
- Prediction Markets and Betting
Emotional Analysis
The emotions expressed in these tweets range from enthusiasm and optimism to confusion and concern. Many of the tweets show excitement about the US CPI YoY% proxies, with users expressing appreciation for the various sources and forecasts, as well as enthusiasm for the predictive markets available. Others show confusion and concern over the accuracy of the forecasts and the website, and some express hope for more predictive markets in the future. Finally, there is a sense of disappointment and regret in one tweet, as the user wishes they had cancelled an order when the odds were lower.
Trend Analysis
- Real-time US CPI (Consumer Price Index)
- Prediction markets
- Climate change
- Betting on outcomes
- Website issues
Disclaimer: The text analysis on twtdata.com, powered by OpenAI, does not represent the views of twtdata.com or its affiliates. The analysis is for informational purposes only and not an endorsement of any viewpoint.
Types of Tweets
Number of Retweets
13
27% of total
Number of Original tweets
8
16% of total
Number of tweets that were Quotes
10
20% of total
Number of tweets that were Replies
24
50% of total
Number of tweets that contain Hashtags
1
2% of total
Number of tweets that contain Mentions
48
100% of total
Devices Used to Tweet
Top 5 Devices
| Source | Count |
|---|---|
| Twitter Web App | 21 |
| Twitter for iPhone | 20 |
| Twitter for Android | 6 |
| Twitter for iPad | 1 |
Device Distribution
Top 10 Accounts by Followers
| Username | Name | Bio | Followers count |
|---|---|---|---|
| rhemrajani9 | Rahul | I try to simplify the markets ➡️ Macro insights 🔎 | Stock market info 📊 | Tech news 💬 | 𝐅𝐫𝐞𝐞 🗞️ @TheOneRead | #Spaceshost | Not financial advice. | 42,652 |
| M_McDonough | Michael McDonough | Chief Economist, Financial Products at Bloomberg LP (*ECAN Mastermind) [email protected] *views are my own* | 34,897 |
| mansourtarek_ | Tarek Mansour | CEO @Kalshi. ex MIT, Citadel, Palantir. I like markets. | 30,708 |
| ThHappyHawaiian | TheHappyHawaiian | Buy silver, platinum, uranium, oil, and metals for the trades of the decadeI don’t live in Hawaii, just enjoy it immensely!$PSLV, not $SLV | 29,082 |
| truflation | Truflation | The only inflation numbers that matter. Free and public at https://t.co/hLTRcWDCoU | 21,408 |
| Kalshi | Kalshi | The first @CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade directly on the outcome of events.Trade econ, politics, covid, etc.https://t.co/KunpglNQKR | 17,414 |
| talmonsmith | talmon joseph smith | economics reporter @NYTimes for @nytimesbusiness || formerly @GQmagazine, tufts’16 || newyorleanian || [email protected]|| rep’d by @aevitascreative | 10,501 |
| __MacroAIf___ | Alf | Founder & CEO ofhttps://t.co/c3jtR115d8: unique macro insights, interactive tools & portfolio strategy to step up your macro game. Former head of $20bn port | 2,621 |
| ZenJayCfa | *Zen Jay, Post QE World, CFA,FRM🔥🔥🚢 | Helping digitally savvy six figure earner and seven figure business owners with deciphering market trends, implementing ideas to earn and grow passive income | 2,469 |
| luanalopeslara | Luana Lopes Lara | Founder @kalshi | 2,324 |
Top 10 Accounts by Friends
| Username | Name | Bio | Followers count |
|---|---|---|---|
| moctezumaATL | Enrique Moctezuma | Alive | 3,325 |
| talmonsmith | talmon joseph smith | economics reporter @NYTimes for @nytimesbusiness || formerly @GQmagazine, tufts’16 || newyorleanian || [email protected]|| rep’d by @aevitascreative | 2,980 |
| ZenJayCfa | *Zen Jay, Post QE World, CFA,FRM🔥🔥🚢 | Helping digitally savvy six figure earner and seven figure business owners with deciphering market trends, implementing ideas to earn and grow passive income | 2,718 |
| Squee451 | Adam Sherman 🌐 | Full-time prediction market trader. Effective-Altruist. Ex-Poker Player. Interested in prediction markets, financial markets, games, and all things learning | 2,038 |
| OldBullTV | Old Bull TV | From American Civics Exchange, Flip Pidot hosts your insider's guide to political prediction markets. | 1,982 |
| NovaRajrthbbc | Lngrid （Minnie）Lrene | Creative Technology Limited - Research consultant——all opinions are my own | 1,893 |
| ProfitFry | pete💎💥💥 | Left side of the bell curve | 1,755 |
| 2dcapital1 | Sumi | Anime & magic Internet money, not simp advice. | 1,676 |
| truflation | Truflation | The only inflation numbers that matter. Free and public at https://t.co/hLTRcWDCoU | 1,229 |
| macrodailyco | Macro Daily Co. | Financial newsletter highlighting key macro trends in markets, investing, personal finance, & business. Pronouns: Money, Alpha, Markets, & Macro | @kylemusserco | 1,190 |
Most Active Users
| Username | Bio | Number of tweets |
|---|---|---|
| mansourtarek_ | CEO @Kalshi. ex MIT, Citadel, Palantir. I like markets. | 4 |
| hole_ghost | Ghost of an A-hole who predicts things. | 3 |
| eightyhi | abolish p*ckleball | trader @ kalshi trading | 2 |
| goddsntplaydice | INTO THE MIND OF THE MOST SUPREME... | 2 |
| rhemrajani9 | I try to simplify the markets ➡️ Macro insights 🔎 | Stock market info 📊 | Tech news 💬 | 𝐅𝐫𝐞𝐞 🗞️ @TheOneRead | #Spaceshost | Not financial advice. | 2 |
| SSGamblers | A podcast on betting and winning real money on politics. | 2 |
| macrodailyco | Financial newsletter highlighting key macro trends in markets, investing, personal finance, & business. Pronouns: Money, Alpha, Markets, & Macro | @kylemusserco | 1 |
| bebeckhardt | Building @Kalshi | Exploring @Earth | 1 |
| heff_eric | Hakuna Matata | 1 |
| luanalopeslara | Founder @kalshi | 1 |
Tweets Per Day
Top 10 Tweets by Retweets
| ID | Text | Retweet count |
|---|---|---|
| 1625120675760336901 | Update on the real-time US CPI YoY% proxies ahead of tomorrow's release, still slowly edging higher:@ClevelandFed Nowcast: 6.5%@Kalshi Median: 6.3%@economics Nowcast: 6.3%@TheTerminal Consensus Forecast: 6.2%@TheTerminal Inflation Swap Implied: 6.2% https://t.co/Z4linKBjAT … | 22 |
| 1625262106927894532 | @KobeissiLetter @elonmusk @Kalshi is a great source for predictive markets like this, a partnership between Twitter and them would be amazing | 3 |
| 1626609099474366468 | Finally! A market @Kalshi on the arctic sea ice extent minimum coming up in September! Thanks, @kalshimarketman! Hope to see more, like for the Arctic max and Antarctic min which … | 3 |
| 1626692012107010050 | 🟢Just one trade today, on a @Kalshi event contract. Great to see a gain.Especially after a loss yesterday (which was about 20% more than today's gain).I should've canceled the order … | 1 |
| 1625088318105964545 | If @kalshimarketman would create a mutually exclusive group market @Kalshi on the NSIDC arctic sea ice maximum then people could see how likely a record is and by how much … | 1 |
| 1625165965209047040 | @rhemrajani9 @JLinWins You didn't include @kalshi's forecast: 6.2%!! https://t.co/RIvJOMwL7z | 0 |
| 1625230305727488001 | @M_McDonough @ClevelandFed @Kalshi @economics @TheTerminal https://t.co/wAMJ06OCuy | 0 |
| 1625193657815949313 | @truflation @Kalshi yea i was talking about the kalshi markets | 0 |
| 1625174782466572306 | @eightyhi @Kalshi Kalshi has its own predictions market and bets, the make predictions based on how their users bet on outcomes. | 0 |
| 1625168106401198080 | @Kalshi The website is showing 6.6% on the front page, is that an error? | 0 |
Top 10 Tweets by Likes
| ID | Text | Like count |
|---|---|---|
| 1625120675760336901 | Update on the real-time US CPI YoY% proxies ahead of tomorrow's release, still slowly edging higher:@ClevelandFed Nowcast: 6.5%@Kalshi Median: 6.3%@economics Nowcast: 6.3%@TheTerminal Consensus Forecast: 6.2%@TheTerminal Inflation Swap Implied: 6.2% https://t.co/Z4linKBjAT … | 58 |
| 1625168106401198080 | @Kalshi The website is showing 6.6% on the front page, is that an error? | 6 |
| 1625262106927894532 | @KobeissiLetter @elonmusk @Kalshi is a great source for predictive markets like this, a partnership between Twitter and them would be amazing | 6 |
| 1626609099474366468 | Finally! A market @Kalshi on the arctic sea ice extent minimum coming up in September! Thanks, @kalshimarketman! Hope to see more, like for the Arctic max and Antarctic min which … | 5 |
| 1626692012107010050 | 🟢Just one trade today, on a @Kalshi event contract. Great to see a gain.Especially after a loss yesterday (which was about 20% more than today's gain).I should've canceled the order … | 4 |
| 1625165965209047040 | @rhemrajani9 @JLinWins You didn't include @kalshi's forecast: 6.2%!! https://t.co/RIvJOMwL7z | 3 |
| 1625245022252679168 | is there anyway to place @Kalshi style trades on Discourse IsntaReactions? need a way to cash in on my CPI bet that Hawks will be cawing that Team Transitory got … | 3 |
| 1627712876361437184 | @etirabys 23% of these people should check out @PolymarketHQ, @Kalshi, and @InsightForecast | 3 |
| 1625264777562931204 | @Kalshi inflation forecast!! Their forecast have been within 0.13% on average. Better than @business! https://t.co/Nu40rPqtZt | 2 |
| 1625514660723032064 | Everything okay over there @Kalshi? Site has been down since yesterday. | 2 |
Top Languages Used
Top 10 Hashtags
| Hashtag | Count |
|---|---|
| #cpi | 1 |
| #inflation | 1 |
Top 10 Mentions
| Mention | Count |
|---|---|
| @kalshi | 48 |
| @theterminal | 7 |
| @clevelandfed | 6 |
| @economics | 5 |
| @jlinwins | 5 |
| @kalshimarketman | 4 |
| @m_mcdonough | 4 |
| @hole_ghost | 3 |
| @truflation | 3 |
| @rhemrajani9 | 3 |
Wordcloud of Tweets
Emoji Analysis
Average emojis per tweet:
10
Emojis Used
| Emoji | Count | Emoji Text |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | 2 | green_circle |
| 💚 | 1 | green_heart |
| 💯 | 1 | hundred_points |
| 👀 | 1 | eyes |
Emoji Groups
| Emoji Group | Count |
|---|---|
| Smileys & Emotion | 2 |
| Symbols | 2 |
| People & Body | 1 |
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